This foretold was apparently lost because it did not anticipate Tun Mahathir’s influence was still widespread among Malay voters in almost all areas on the West Coast of Peninsular. However the expectations of the writers whose influence in Kelantan and Terengganu are very limited is accurate. In addition, our expectation that PAS will suffer a serve defeat outside of its traditions is very precise.
However, there are two related articles written as early warning. First, the attitude of young voters that can change depends on the effectiveness of the contesting party campaign. Second, the article “GE 14: Pakatan Harapan Why Johor?” which revealed that Pakatan Harapan (PH) has been able to attract about 20% of the Malay population in Johor and its implications in other states in the Peninsular but it seems that Barisan Nasional (BN) is not aware of the fact or is aware of it but is unable to repel Tun Mahathir’s influence.The analysis of Malay voter’ choice by means of regression analysis and found that 46.29% of the total Malay voters had voted BN (Barisan Nasional).
The highest in Negeri Sembilan and Johor more than 65% and the lowest in Selangor 34%. The average for Peninsular Malaysia, the percentage of Malay votes has dropped 17 points and Indian votes also dropped 17 points (compared to GE13). This is the main reasons for the defeat of BN (Basrisan Nasional) this time.That situation, it is not suprising that the Federal government under the PH (Pakatan Harapan) was formed by a minority of 58 Malay/Muslim representatives PH (Pakatan Harapan) requires cooperation from them as a party. Probably they will try to seize UMNO seats, PAS and other BN (Barisan Nasional) parties in the upcoming GE and instead BN (Barisan Nasional) will try to reclaim the lost seats. Who will succeed is still to early to be predicted because in UMNO, PAS and UN strongholds, its members prove to be very loyal to their respective parties.
However, PH (Pakatan Harapan) now has an advantage as a party that holds the Federal government’s feature.